Monday 15 June 2015

Mid June 2015 Monsoon Report for Goa - Late Start but So Far So Good!

As predicted by Vagaries of the Weather in its blog on May 17, the SW Monsoon reached Goa on June 9, nearly 4 days beyond the normal date. But till June 15, it has remained vigorous over Goa. Except for a few days before the onset, every day has seen widespread rains across Goa, with one or two heavy downpours.

As per the area weighted average rainfall across Goa, maintained by IMD, Goa has received 278.2 mm against normal rainfall of 345.2 mm, with a deficiency of -19%, till 0830 hrs on June 15, 2015.

Source: http://www.imdgoa.gov.in

Panaji has received maximum rains during the last 15 days with 15.89 inches of rain, followed by Canacona with 13.72 inches and Margao with 12.58 inches ( Though the rains recorded by IMD for Margao for June 14 at 5.52 inches is disputable, as Vagaries Goa rain gauge located just a km away recorded 2.56 inches, and the rains were normal and steady).


Till 0830 hrs on June 15, 2015

Its too early in the season to make any predictions as to which city will emerge as the wettest place in Goa. But its still surprising to see Valpoi, which is always the wettest place in Goa, occupy the bottom spot in the above chart. So expect some churning as the season progresses and the interiors of Goa start receiving the bulk of their rainfall!

The rains have brought down the Day temperatures dramatically in the first 15 days of June, from 35.2C recorded on June 1 to 27.3C recorded on June 14, which is 2C below normal. The minimum temperatures are now hovering near 23C.

















The daily rainfall recorded by Vagaries Goa rain gauge at Aquem Goa shows the pattern of rain:





















Monsoons are progressing slowly across India, getting delayed by 5-6 days at most places. The Bay of Bengal branch of the monsoon has remained stationery at least till June 15.

The Monsoon progress chart as released by IMD on June 15:

































And though the quantum of rains graph for India can change rapidly day by day, the following graph makes interesting reading:

It shows that overall the country has received 13% rains more than normal, but Goa and Konkan are deficient with -26% rains along with Coastal Karnataka and Kerala too!

Of course these percentages can change rapidly on a day to day basis.

With the progress of the monsoon stalled since June 13 and a low expected to form in Bay of Bengal later this week and aiding the progress of the monsoon in that part of the country, let's see what the rest of the month has in store for India!

Goa can expect steady, normal rains over next few days.

For daily rainfall readings, charts and graphs visit http://weatheringoa.blogspot.in/p/swm-2015-goa-graphs-and-charts.html