Friday 23 August 2013

August 23 - What's in store for the coming week?

Last week, it rained everyday in Goa. Heavy rains on Saturday 17 and Sunday 18 tapered off slowly as the week progressed. It looked as if the rains were trying to compensate for the poor performance in the first half of the month. While it rained more in the interior, coastal Goa was also not far behind, as seen from the daily chart for Margao over the week gone by:


August by far has always been less wet than June and July and this year is no exception. The chart below for monthly rainfall till August 23, brings this out very clearly.


For Panaji, 21.10 inches of rains in August is considered normal. Thus till August 23, we have had only 60% of normal rains in August. However due to the super performance in July, the rains are still 6 inches above normal overall.

So what does the monsoon have in store for the coming week?

As seen in this EUMETSAT image on August 23, the weakened low has traveled to Gujarat- Rajasthan from the Bay of Bengal. It has pulled in the moisture from Arabian Sea too, resulting in rains over Sindh in Pakistan and coastal Gujarat. But over Goa and Konkan humidity is expected to fall over the next week.


Thus in absence of any activity of the monsoon trough along the west coast, rainfall is expected to further decrease in the coming week. Sky may remain overcast with a few intense showers, but rainfall along the coast should be between 10-20 mm in the first few days of the week, reducing further towards end of coming week. The interiors should receive a little higher rainfall.


Will update the blog, if there are any new developments.

The hopes of Panaji and consequently Goa (for IMD records purpose), reaching 100 inches mark before August end seems less likely!