Monday, 22 September 2014

Likelihood of rains this week - posted Monday September 22, 2014

Goa continues to enjoy a fine mid September spell of occasional rains and plenty of sunshine as forecast in the last post !

However things may change later this week. Retreating monsoon season would see late afternoon and evening showers accompanied with thunder from Wednesday 24th onwards till around Friday 26th. This would be particularly true towards the hills in the interior of Goa. Coastal areas may experience overcast skies. As explained by the weather blogger Mr Rajesh Kapadia in his blog The Vagaries of Weather at http://www.vagaries.in  in THIS POST a Line of Wind Discontinuity (LWD) will form on 23rd from around Satara in Maharashtra to interior Karnataka, and a low will form at the same time in interior Karnataka. This low is expected to travel west and fizzle out in the Arabian Sea off the coast of North Karnataka.

Goa will be benefitting from the rains from this system!

Quoting further from the Blog Vagaries of Weather "Monsoon has withdrawn from west Rajasthan and Kutch and begin gradually withdrawing from Punjab and (rest of) Rajasthan by 23rd".

Goa has received normal rain with just 4% excess as seen in this graphic from http://imdgoa.gov.in


However overall deficiency for SWM 2014 over India remains -11%


Things are not expected to change much over rest of the monsoon season which officially ends on September 30!