Saturday 26 July 2014

Rainfall Prospects for Goa for the weekend and rest of July - posted July 26, 2014

Update July 29: As forecast monsoon activity has been extremely subdued since saturday with Margao recording 4.1 mm, 6.4 mm and 9.3 mm in 24 hrs ending 0830 hrs on July 27, 28 and 29 respectively. Rainfall is expected to pick up on Wednesday/ Thursday.

All forecasts for Goa for Saturday 26, Sunday 27 and then the rest of July till 30th are indicating scattered rains, with plenty of sunshine and isolated short heavy downpours totaling 15-25 mm
 Per day along the coast and 25-35 mm per day in the interiors.

The latest post on All India weather by weather blogger Mr Rajesh Kapadia at www.vagaries.in as well as IMD NWP charts, IGES/COLA forecasts all paint the same picture.

The reduction in rains along the west coast is due to the weakened monsoon trough in the Arabian Sea off the coast.


The activity is mostly near Orrisa coast and along the northern monsoon axis.



It is now certain that Goa will end July with a seasonal deficiency of around 20%, up from deficiency of 47% at June end.

The monsoon activity along west coast including Goa is expected to pick up from July 31 into August. 

We'll wait and see what August has in store!