Monsoon vigorous over Goa - Posted June 27, 2016

Though SW Monsoon arrived 4 days late on June 10, its performance in Goa so far has been above normal.

As per IMD records the top five centers with highest rainfall from June 1 till  8 am, June 27, 2016 are:

1. Mormugao - 1236.6 mm (48.69 inches)

2. Dabolim - 1056.7 mm (41.60 inches)

3. Canacona - 985.2 mm (38.79 inches)

4. Quepem - 954.0 mm (37.56 inches)

5. Panjim - 952.7 mm (37.51 inches)

Of course these figures include the pre - monsoon showers too, before June 10.

As seen above from the chart prepared by IMD Goa, Goa has so far received 17% above normal rainfall, mostly due the heavy rainfall last week.

The South West Monsoon has covered most of India, after initial lag, except N Gujarat, parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, W UP and parts of NW, as seen in the monsoon progress chart from IMD, as of June 27, 2016.

Let's watch if the monsoon maintains its momentum, as it is forecast to do till October 2016!

IMD forecasts above average Monsoon rains for June - September 2016!

India Meteorological Department (IMD) has some good news for rain starved country in its first long range forecast for South West Monsoons for 2016, released today, April 12, 2016.

Summary of the ESSO-IMD’s Operational long range Forecast for the 2016 Southwest monsoon rainfall

(a) Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ± 5%

(b) The 5 category probability forecasts for the Seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is given below:

  Category.            Rainfall Range (% of LPA).        Forecast Probability (%)

   Deficient.                        <90                                           1

      

   Below Normal.             90 - 96                                        5

    

   Normal.                        96 -104                                     30

  

Above Normal.                104 -110                                   34

      

   Excess                            >110                                      30

IMD will come out with more detailed forecast in June.

You can download today’s IMD press release for more details by clicking on the link below

http://www.imd.gov.in/pages/download.php?ff=press_release/20160412_pr_22.pdf